Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.002650 0.002827 0.003018 0.003241 0.003494 0.003778 0.004121
2025-01-19 0.002386 0.002627 0.002902 0.003246 0.003670 0.004189 0.004892
2025-01-26 0.002100 0.002352 0.002650 0.003037 0.003539 0.004190 0.005145
2025-02-02 0.001991 0.002268 0.002606 0.003063 0.003689 0.004559 0.005962
2025-02-09 0.001933 0.002236 0.002619 0.003156 0.003933 0.005096 0.007191
2025-02-16 0.001856 0.002172 0.002579 0.003170 0.004060 0.005478 0.008308
2025-02-23 0.001825 0.002163 0.002610 0.003282 0.004347 0.006180 0.010398
2025-03-02 0.001746 0.002084 0.002538 0.003233 0.004370 0.006423 0.011630
2025-03-09 0.001665 0.001997 0.002447 0.003148 0.004318 0.006510 0.012523
2025-03-16 0.001637 0.001981 0.002456 0.003213 0.004530 0.007180 0.015763
2025-03-23 0.001609 0.001961 0.002457 0.003266 0.004729 0.007887 0.020279
2025-03-30 0.001560 0.001911 0.002409 0.003235 0.004765 0.008225 0.023947
2025-04-06 0.001492 0.001832 0.002319 0.003133 0.004666 0.008240 0.026300
2025-04-13 0.001451 0.001792 0.002285 0.003125 0.004755 0.008800 0.034993
2025-04-20 0.001366 0.001685 0.002145 0.002926 0.004430 0.008108 0.030479
2025-04-27 0.001341 0.001664 0.002135 0.002949 0.004571 0.008829 0.045095
2025-05-04 0.001332 0.001665 0.002159 0.003036 0.004865 0.010195 0.109566
2025-05-11 0.001307 0.001642 0.002144 0.003048 0.004994 0.011106 0.412548
2025-05-18 0.001303 0.001649 0.002176 0.003152 0.005363 0.013312 NaN
2025-05-25 0.001269 0.001610 0.002132 0.003107 0.005353 0.013827 NaN
2025-06-01 0.001230 0.001563 0.002072 0.003027 0.005242 0.013771 NaN
2025-06-08 0.001221 0.001559 0.002084 0.003088 0.005514 0.016121 NaN
2025-06-15 0.001209 0.001552 0.002090 0.003138 0.005769 0.018912 NaN